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HouseLogic.com is New Website for Cincinnatians

HouseLogic.com is a free source of information and tools—from the NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®—that can help you make smart and timely decisions about your home.  With content covering home improvement, maintenance, taxes, finance, insurance, and even ways you can get involved in and enrich your community, HouseLogic can help you increase and protect the value of your home by helping you make confident decisions.

I thought the article about Spring home maintenance projects was great.  Also, if you are thinking of replacing your roof soon, you might start by getting the basics for your research on this site.

National Association of Realtors (NAR) Releases January Sales Analysis

Existing home sales are up in 2010 compared to the same time a year ago. According to the National Association of REALTORS (NAR), existing homes sales -- including single family, condominiums, townhomes and co-ops -- were up 11.5 percent from January 2009 levels. At the current pace, NAR is projecting existing home sales of 5.05 million units for the year. Total housing inventory is down 0.5 percent to 3.27 million units nationally.Existing Home Sales By Region

NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun is watching the sales data very closely. "Activity should be picking up strongly in late spring as buyers take advantage of the tax credit, which is critical to absorb distressed properties reaching the market and to continually chip away at inventory," Yun said. "With a downtrend in the number of homes on the market, especially in the lower price ranges, values are beginning to firm but with great variance around the country."

Mortgage backer Freddie Mac reported an average commitment rate for a 30-year, conventional, fixed-rate mortgage of 5.03 percent in January. This is up slightly from 4.93 percent available in December 2009, but down overall from a year ago when the rate was 5.05 percent in January 2009.

December Numbers Reported by the National Association of Realtors

National Market Trends

As expected, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported a decline in existing home sales at the end of 2009, as first time buyers rushed to beat the tax credit deadline and close their transactions by November 30. Although Existing home sales fell by 16.7 percent in December, sales remained brisk enough to break the 5 million unit mark, bringing total the number of existing homes sales up to 5,156,000 for all of 2009. The 2009 sales figures were almost 5 percent higher than the year before, creating first year-over-year sales gain since 2005.

Chief NAR economist Lawrence Yun remains cautiously optimistic about the national housing market. "It’s significant that home sales remain above year-ago levels, but the market is going through a period of swings driven by the tax credit," he said. 'We’ll likely have another surge in the spring as home buyers take advantage of the extended and expanded tax credit. By early summer the overall market should benefit from more balanced inventory, and sales are on track to rise again in 2010. However, the job market remains a concern and could dampen the housing recovery – job creation is key to a continued recovery in the second half of the year."

Great Opportunity for Buyers

Historically low interest rates and the extended federal tax credit have helped millions of buyers take advantage of one of the best buyers markets in history. Market conditions have improved considerably with the help of these stabilizing forces. Expect to see continued market activity through the winter and spring as savvy buyers take advantage of the extended $8,000 tax credit. Freddie Mac reports that 30 year conventional loans available in the high-4 to low-5 percent range.

Existing Home Sales By Region

Increased demand has shrunk inventory while slightly raising homes prices. The national median existing home price rose to $178,300 in December, up 1.5 percent over 2008 prices. The increase was attributed in part to an increase in mid- to upper-priced homes.

The reduction of housing inventory has brought stability to many parts of the country, creating more competition for available homes, and multiple offers in some areas.

NAR Releases Real Estate Market Update for October

Existing Home Sales are at their highest levels in over 2 years, according to an October report published by the National Association of REALTORS (NAR). Fueled by increased activity among first time home buyers, the existing housing market has shown gains in five of the last six months. Based on the recent 9.4 percent increase from August to September, NAR is predicting annual sales volume of 5.57 million units for 2009, up from the earlier prediction of 5.10 million units.

Existing Home Sales By Region

Buyers are taking advantage of low interest rates and a first time buyers tax credit available through the end of November. "Much of the momentum is from people responding to the first-time buyer tax credit, which is freeing many sellers to make a trade and buy another home," said Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist. "We are hopeful the tax credit will be extended and possibly expanded to more buyers, at least through the middle of next year, because the rising sales momentum needs to continue for a few additional quarters until we reach a point of a self-sustaining recovery."

Total housing inventory is trending down across the country, reaching its lowest level in two and a half years. Inventory fell to 3.6 million homes available for sale at the end of September. This represents a 7.8 month supply at our current sales pace. "If we could continue to absorb inventory at this pace, home prices would return to normal, modest appreciation patterns next year," Yun said.

First Time Buyers lead the Way to Housing and Economic Recovery

Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors (NAR), indicates that the outlook for housing and and the economy appear headed for a sustainable recovery.

He credits the home buyer tax credit and its enhanced expansion to more home buyers into the middle of 2010 with this optimistic assessment.  "Given the success of the first-time buyer tax credit to date, and the need for qualified buyers to continue to absorb inventory that will include additional foreclosures over the coming year, we are hopeful about the impact of the expanded tax credit because it will stabilize home prices," he said.  In fact, the credit is working better than first projected -  it now looks like we'll have 2.3 to 2.4 million first-time buyers this year."

In 2009, the NAR Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers reported that first-time home buyers accounted for 47% of all home sales.  In 2006, 36% sold to first-time buyers.

Yun believes that there will continue to be a steady draw down of inventory which will also help to stabilize home prices and increase the number sold by approximately 13.6% in 2010.  The biggest risk is caused by unemployment, which the government expects to peak at about 10%.

He predicts that mortgage rates for a 30 year fixed rate will average about 5.3% in the fourth quarter of this year and gradually rise in 2010, ending at around 5.8%.  Because of the decline in home prices, the NAR housing affordability index has risen by 30 points this year...meaning many more families can afford a home.  The biggest deterrent to buying is currently a lack of down payment or low credit scores.

NAR releases Real Estate Market Update for August

Existing home sales are up 3.4 percent over the same time last year, according to a recent report by the National Association of Realtors® (NAR). Helped by the $8,000 tax credit to first time buyers, existing home sales are on pace to reach 5.1 million units for 2009, up from the 4.93 million units projected in August 2008. 

Existing Home Sales By Region

"Home sales retrenched from a very strong improvement in July but continue to be much higher than before the stimulus. The first-time buyer tax credit is having the intended impact of bringing buyers into the market, allowing them to take advantage of very favorable affordability conditions,” said Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist.

Although existing home sales are up from this time in 2008, the overall numbers are down from just one month ago. "The decline demonstrates we can’t take a housing rebound for granted," Yun said. In the previous four months, sales had risen over 15 percent. Low mortgage rates have contributed to the overall market rise. Freddie Mac reported an average national commitment rate of 5.19 percent in August for a 30 year conventional fixed rate mortgage, down considerably from 6.49 percent offered in August 2008.

Housing Sales Statistics released by National Association of Realtors

For the first time in five years, existing home sales have increased for four months in a row, according to an August report by the The National Association of Realtors® (NAR). Existing home sales - including single-family, townhomes, condominiums, and co-ops - increased 7.2 percent in July, which is the largest monthly sales gain recorded since 1999. Analysts are projecting an increase in 2009 of existing home sales to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.24 million units, which is 5 percent above the 4.99 million-unit pace set in July 2008.

Existing Home Sales By Region

"The housing market has decisively turned for the better," said Lawrence Yun, chief NAR economist. "A combination of first-time buyers taking advantage of the housing stimulus tax credit and greatly improved affordability conditions are contributing to higher sales."

Lending Trends                                               

Freddie Mac reported that the national average commitment rate for a 30-year, conventional, fixed-rate mortgage dropped to 5.22 percent in July from 5.42 percent in June. This is a dramatic rate reduction compared to the 6.43 percent rate available in July 2008. According to a survey by NAR, first-time buyers accounted for 30 percent of homes purchased in July, while distressed homes accounted for 31 percent of transactions.

Contact Information

Photo of The Cincinnati Team - Saralou & Mary Real Estate
The Cincinnati Team - Saralou & Mary
RE/MAX Preferred Group
3522 Erie Avenue
Cincinnati OH 45208
Saralou: 513-646-4819
Mary: 513-310-4448
Fax: 513-842-7892

Last modified: 3/15/10